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Text color: Green = on prediction, Red = off prediction, Purple = gone before enough data to evaluate (usually 10+ yrs or instant MT), Black/Grey = insufficient data yet to evaluate.X = no value and should be beyond plateau based on previous stats Number is predicted years to reach plateau: MT = Plateau of productivity (reached maturity, stable for now before heading towards extinction) SL = Slope of enlightenment (growth slowing but capability improving/standardisation), TR = Trough of disillusionment (expect change and consolidation), PK = Peak of expectations (value may be over-hyped), If a technology fits with your overall business strategy you should be evaluating it from the outset, if you are unsure, wait until more research is available (slope/plateau).” – Jackie Fenn, Gartner Analyst Tables summarising Gartner Hype Cycle predictionsĢ005 data kept only for trends still listed 2006 onwardsįT = Innovation Trigger (future potential), “Don’t invest in a technology just because it is being hyped (trigger/peak) or ignore a technology just because it is not living up to early over expectations (trough). This page began from a comment made a decade ago: How accurate are the Gartner hype cycles? Below is a table documenting 10 years of emerging trends, from 2005 to 2014.